Tropical Storm HAGUPIT Nears Mindanao, Possible PAR Entry This Weekend

UPDATE May 13, 2026 11:15 AM:

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Tropical Storm HAGUPIT maintained its strength while moving westward over the sea south of Guam on Thursday morning, May 7, 2026. PAGASA said the tropical cyclone may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between Saturday evening and Sunday morning, where it will be assigned the local name “Caloy.”

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) issued Tropical Cyclone Advisory No. 2 for Tropical Storm HAGUPIT at 11:00 AM on Thursday, May 7, 2026.

As of 10:00 AM, the center of the tropical storm was estimated at 1,895 kilometers east of Northeastern Mindanao, outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, at coordinates 7.5°N, 143.5°E.

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HAGUPIT continues to move westward while maintaining maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kilometers per hour. The tropical storm has a central pressure of 1002 hPa and tropical cyclone winds extending up to 280 kilometers from the center.

Track and Intensity Outlook

According to PAGASA, HAGUPIT is forecast to move west northwestward throughout the forecast period.

The tropical cyclone may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility between Saturday evening, May 9, and Sunday morning, May 10. Once inside PAR, it will be assigned the local name “Caloy.”

Forecast positions released by PAGASA show HAGUPIT gradually approaching the eastern section of the country over the coming days:

• Friday evening: approximately 1,320 km east of Northeastern Mindanao
• Saturday evening: approximately 1,055 km east of Northeastern Mindanao
• Sunday morning: approximately 860 km east of Eastern Visayas
• Monday morning: approximately 555 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
• Tuesday morning: approximately 500 km east of Juban, Sorsogon

PAGASA said HAGUPIT is expected to further intensify within the next 48 hours and may peak as a high-end tropical storm.

However, the weather bureau added that the system is forecast to weaken afterwards due to unfavorable environmental conditions. It may weaken into a tropical depression by Tuesday, May 12, while over the Philippine Sea.

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Hazards Affecting Land Areas

At this time, PAGASA said HAGUPIT is less likely to directly affect weather conditions over the Philippines within the next three days.

No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals have been raised.

Despite this, residents and local disaster risk reduction and management offices are advised to continue monitoring updates, especially as the tropical cyclone is expected to enter PAR during the weekend.

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Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

PAGASA has not yet reported significant direct impacts on coastal waters associated with HAGUPIT over the next three days.

Nevertheless, mariners and those planning sea travel are encouraged to remain updated on official advisories as the tropical cyclone continues to move closer to the Philippine Area of Responsibility.

Advisory

Unless an intermediate advisory is issued, the next Tropical Cyclone Advisory from PAGASA will be released at 11:00 PM today.

The public is advised to monitor updates from PAGASA and local disaster risk reduction offices for possible changes in the forecast track and intensity of Tropical Storm HAGUPIT.

For more information, see our complete guide on 10 Things You Can Do to Keep Your Cool This Summer.

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Understanding the Impact of Tropical Storms in the Philippines

Tropical storms, such as HAGUPIT, can have significant effects on the Philippines, a country that is no stranger to natural disasters due to its geographical location in the Pacific Ring of Fire. The Philippines experiences around 20 typhoons each year, which can lead to severe weather conditions, including heavy rainfall, strong winds, and flooding. Coastal communities are especially vulnerable to storm surges, while mountainous regions may face landslides. The preparedness and response strategies implemented by local governments are crucial in minimizing the impact on affected populations. For residents, understanding the storm’s projected path, securing properties, and following advisories from PAGASA can make a significant difference in ensuring safety. It is essential for travelers and locals alike to stay informed about tropical storm developments, as they can disrupt travel plans and local economies, showcasing the resilience of Filipino communities and their commitment to recovering from such challenges.

Safety Tips for Residents and Travelers During Tropical Storms

As Tropical Storm HAGUPIT approaches, both residents and travelers in the Philippines should prioritize safety and preparation. First and foremost, keep abreast of the latest weather forecasts and advisories from PAGASA. It’s advisable to prepare an emergency kit that includes essentials such as food, water, a flashlight, batteries, a first aid kit, and important documents. If you’re in a flood-prone area, identify safer ground or evacuation points in advance. For travelers, ensure that you have a flexible itinerary during storm season, as flights and transportation might be affected. Always inform someone of your travel plans and avoid taking unnecessary risks, particularly in regions under storm warning. Lastly, consider following local social media feeds or community groups for real-time updates, as these can provide crucial information from those within the immediate impact zones. By maintaining readiness and situational awareness, you can navigate through tropical storm conditions with greater confidence.

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For more information, see our complete guide on Typhoon Quinta.