By Tropical Depression Outside PAR May Enter as “Francisco” This Weekend
Excerpt: PAGASA is monitoring a tropical depression over the Philippine Sea, west of Guam, which may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility between Saturday evening and Sunday morning.
A tropical depression currently outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) has slightly accelerated while moving westward over the Philippine Sea, according to the 11:00 AM advisory of DOST-PAGASA on Friday, June 19, 2026.
As of 10:00 AM, the center of the tropical depression was estimated at 1,850 kilometers east of Eastern Visayas, still outside PAR.
The weather disturbance has maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour near the center, gustiness of up to 70 kilometers per hour, and a central pressure of 1004 hPa. It is moving westward at 20 kilometers per hour.
PAGASA said strong winds extend outward up to 280 kilometers from the center.
May Enter PAR This Weekend
Based on PAGASA’s forecast, the tropical depression is expected to move generally west-northwestward and may enter PAR between Saturday evening, June 20, and Sunday morning, June 21.
Once inside PAR, the tropical cyclone will be given the domestic name Francisco.
At this time, PAGASA said a landfall scenario is less likely.
Possible Intensification Into Typhoon
PAGASA said the tropical depression may intensify into a tropical storm today, June 19.
As it continues moving over warm tropical waters, it may further intensify and could reach typhoon category by Sunday, June 21.
Wind Signal No. 1 Not Ruled Out for Parts of Northern Luzon
While the cyclone is not expected to directly affect the country in the next three days, PAGASA said the possible hoisting of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over the northern and eastern portions of Northern Luzon is not ruled out.
This will depend on the cyclone’s possible close approach to land by Tuesday, June 23, and Wednesday, June 24, as well as changes in its forecast track in succeeding advisories.
No Direct Effect Yet in the Next 3 Days
PAGASA said the tropical depression is less likely to directly affect the country’s weather and sea conditions within the next three days.
The public and local disaster risk reduction and management offices are advised to continue monitoring updates from PAGASA, especially as the tropical depression approaches PAR.
Unless an intermediate advisory is issued, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be released at 11:00 PM today, June 19.
Source: DOST-PAGASA Tropical Cyclone Advisory No. 2, issued 11:00 AM, June 19, 2026
