Tropical Storm “Enteng” Maintains Strength While Slowly Turning North-Northwestward
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued the latest update on Tropical Storm “Enteng” (YAGI), which continues to maintain its strength while slowly turning north-northwestward over the sea east of Polillo Islands.
Track and Intensity Outlook
As of 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “Enteng” was estimated to be 115 km northeast of Infanta, Quezon, or 85 km east-southeast of Baler, Aurora (15.5 °N, 122.4 °E). It has maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, with gustiness up to 90 km/h, and is moving north-northwestward at 15 km/h.
“Enteng” is expected to make landfall over Isabela or Cagayan this afternoon or evening, although a landfall over northern Aurora is not ruled out. After crossing mainland Northern Luzon, the storm will emerge over the Luzon Strait by late morning tomorrow. It is forecast to continue moving westward over the Luzon Strait and the West Philippine Sea, exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday (September 4).
“Enteng” is forecast to maintain its tropical storm category until Tuesday during its traverse of mainland Northern Luzon. Further intensification is expected from Wednesday onwards, with the storm potentially reaching severe tropical storm status on Wednesday and typhoon status by Friday (September 6).
Forecast Positions:
- September 2, 2024, 8:00 PM: In the vicinity of Bicobian, Divilacan
- September 3, 2024, 8:00 AM: 50 km southwest of Calayan, Cagayan
- September 3, 2024, 8:00 PM: 155 km west of Calayan, Cagayan
- September 4, 2024, 8:00 AM: 260 km west of Calayan, Cagayan
- September 4, 2024, 8:00 PM: 375 km west of Calayan, Cagayan (outside PAR)
- September 5, 2024, 8:00 AM: 460 km west of Calayan, Cagayan (outside PAR)
- September 6, 2024, 8:00 AM: 730 km west of Calayan, Cagayan (outside PAR)
- September 7, 2024, 8:00 AM: 1,035 km west of Extreme Northern Luzon (outside PAR)
Hazards Affecting Land Areas
Heavy Rainfall Outlook: Residents in affected areas should prepare for heavy rainfall, with forecast accumulated rainfall as follows:
- Today to tomorrow noon (September 3):
- 100-200 mm: The northern and central portions of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Rizal, Laguna, Metro Manila, Cavite, Zambales, Bataan, Nueva Ecija, the eastern portion of Bulacan, Aurora, the eastern portion of Isabela, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands.
- 50-100 mm: Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Norte, and the rest of Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, and CALABARZON.
- Tomorrow noon to Wednesday noon (September 4):
- 100-200 mm: Ilocos Sur and Abra.
- 50-100 mm: The rest of Ilocos Region, and Cordillera Administrative Region.
Flooding and rain-induced landslides are expected, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in official hazard maps and in localities that have experienced significant rainfall in recent days.
Severe Winds The following areas are under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2:
- Luzon:
- Northern portion of Ilocos Norte
- Apayao
- Eastern portion of Kalinga (Rizal, Pinukpuk, City of Tabuk)
- Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
- Isabela
- Quirino
- Northern portion of Aurora (Casiguran, Dilasag, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Baler)
- Polillo Islands
- Northern portion of Camarines Norte (Santa Elena, Capalonga, Jose Panganiban, Paracale, Vinzons)
The following areas are under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1:
- Luzon:
- Batanes
- Rest of Ilocos Norte
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- Eastern portion of Pangasinan:
- Rosales
- Asingan
- Binalonan
- Sison
- San Manuel
- Santa Maria
- Balungao
- San Quintin
- Tayug
- Umingan
- Natividad
- San Nicolas
- Abra
- Rest of Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Rest of Aurora
- Nueva Ecija
- Eastern portion of Pampanga (Candaba)
- Eastern portion of Bulacan:
- Doña Remedios Trinidad
- Norzagaray
- City of San Jose del Monte
- Obando
- City of Meycauayan
- Bocaue
- Balagtas
- Bustos
- Baliuag
- Pandi
- Santa Maria
- Marilao
- Angat
- San Rafael
- San Ildefonso
- San Miguel
- Metro Manila
- Rest of Quezon
- Rizal
- Laguna
- Eastern portion of Batangas:
- San Juan
- Santo Tomas
- City of Tanauan
- Lipa City
- Malvar
- Balete
- Padre Garcia
- Rosario
- Marinduque
- Rest of Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
Minor to moderate impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted, while minimal to minor impacts are expected in areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Coastal Inundation A minimal to moderate risk of storm surge may occur in the next 48 hours in the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, and Camarines Norte.
Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters
In the next 24 hours, “Enteng” and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring the following conditions over the coastal waters of the country:
- Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern seaboard of Luzon and the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas. Mariners are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions.
- Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.5 m) over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon, the western seaboard of Central Luzon, and the western seaboard of Southern Luzon. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to exercise caution or avoid navigation.
- Slight to moderate seas (1.0 to 2.5 m) are expected over the rest of the country. Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels should take precautionary measures.
Residents in the affected areas are urged to stay informed and take necessary precautions. The next bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.