Tropical Storm “Crising” Intensifies, Heads Toward Cagayan-Babuyan Islands

Tropical Storm Crising has slightly intensified as it moves west northwest toward mainland Cagayan and the Babuyan Islands. Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals No. 1 and 2 are now hoisted in parts of Northern and Central Luzon, with heavy rainfall and gale-force winds expected in the affected areas.

Tropical Storm Crising continues its approach toward Northern Luzon, bringing the threat of heavy rain, severe winds, and dangerous coastal conditions. As of 11:00 AM on July 18, 2025, the system has strengthened and is moving west northwest. Residents in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are urged to remain vigilant, monitor advisories, and prepare for possible flooding, landslides, and coastal hazards.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Location of Center (as of 11:00 AM, July 18, 2025): 195 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.8°N, 123.6°E)
• Movement: Westward
• Strength:
  • Maximum sustained winds: 75 km/h near the center
  • Gustiness: up to 90 km/h

Outlook:
Crising will likely make landfall over mainland Cagayan or the Babuyan Islands this afternoon or evening, then cross Extreme Northern Luzon before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility by July 19 afternoon. It is forecast to reach Severe Tropical Storm status by tomorrow.

Hazards Affecting Land Areas

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Rainfall Forecast (Today to Tomorrow Noon, July 19):

• More than 200 mm: Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur
• 100–200 mm: Batanes, Isabela, Abra, Benguet, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, La Union, Pangasinan
• 50–100 mm: Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora

Tomorrow Noon to Sunday Noon (July 20):

• 50–100 mm: Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra

Southwest Monsoon-Enhanced Rains:

• 100–200 mm: Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental
• 50–100 mm: Metro Manila, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Aklan, Capiz, Negros Oriental, Zamboanga del Norte

Tomorrow Noon to Sunday Noon (July 20):

• 100–200 mm: Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro, Antique
• 50–100 mm: Metro Manila, La Union, Benguet, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Palawan, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Aklan, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental

Sunday Noon to Monday Noon (July 21):

• 100–200 mm: Zambales, Bataan
• 50–100 mm: Pangasinan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon

Note: Rainfall may be higher in mountainous areas. Impacts may worsen due to previous rainfall.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are in effect:

TCWS No. 2:

• Batanes
• Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands)
• Isabela
• Apayao
• Kalinga
• Northern and central portions of Abra
• Eastern portion of Mountain Province (Natonin, Paracelis)
• Eastern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Alfonso Lista)
• Ilocos Norte
• Northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Cabugao, Sinait, Magsingal, San Juan, San Ildefonso, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente, Santa Catalina, Caoayan, City of Vigan, Santa)

TCWS No. 1:

• Quirino
• Nueva Vizcaya
• Rest of Mountain Province
• Rest of Ifugao
• Rest of Abra
• Benguet
• Rest of Ilocos Sur
• La Union
• Northern Pangasinan
• Northern Aurora
• Northeastern Nueva Ecija

Southwest Monsoon Gusts:

• Today: Zambales, Bataan, Batangas, Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental, Sarangani
• Tomorrow: Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental
• Sunday (July 20): Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Northern Samar

Coastal Inundation

• Minimal to moderate risk of life-threatening storm surge (1.0–2.0 meters) within 24 hours in low-lying/exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands), Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur.
• See Storm Surge Warning No. 6 (issued 8:00 AM) for full details.

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

Gale Warning

A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon. See Gale Warning No. 2A (11:00 AM) for details.

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Very Rough Seas:

• Up to 6.0 m: Seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands
• Up to 4.5 m: Northern Ilocos Norte, other seaboards of Cagayan, seaboard of Isabela

Sea travel is risky for all types and tonnage of vessels. Mariners must remain in port or seek shelter until conditions improve.

Rough Seas:

• Up to 3.5 m: Western Ilocos Norte, Palawan, Antique; southern Iloilo; western/southern Negros Occidental, Guimaras
• Up to 3.0 m: Western Occidental Mindoro (including Lubang Islands); southern Negros Oriental; northern Zamboanga Peninsula; eastern Davao Oriental; remaining Palawan

Mariners of small seacrafts and motorbancas are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or ill-equipped.

Moderate Seas:

• Up to 2.5 m: Northeastern Aurora, Northern Samar; eastern Catanduanes, Eastern Samar; Romblon, Siquijor, Camiguin; northern/western Masbate; southern Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Bohol, Southern Leyte; northern Misamis Oriental, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte
• Up to 2.0 m: Western Bataan, Batangas; remaining Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Northern Samar; northern Camarines Norte; southern Marinduque; Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Dinagat Islands

Residents in areas affected by Tropical Storm Crising are advised to take all necessary precautions to protect life and property. Stay tuned for the latest updates from PAGASA and local authorities, especially regarding wind signals, heavy rainfall warnings, and marine advisories. The next official bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.