Tropical Depression “Auring” Enters PAR

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has reported today, February 17, 2021 (Wednesday), in their 11:00 AM advisory that Tropical Depression “Auring” which is in the Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as of 8:00 AM today.

According to PAGASA, Auring is forecast to move generally westward or west-southwestward in the next 12 hours and will move generally west-northwestward and is forecast to make landfall over Caraga on Saturday evening or Sunday morning as Tropical Storm.

Location of Eye

The center of  Tropical Depression Auring was estimated based on all available data at 900 km East Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur (06.3 °N, 134.2 °E ) as of 10:00 AM today.

Movement and Strength of Auring

TD Auring is moving West Southwestward at 20 km/h with a strength of maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h.

Hazards Affecting Land Areas

Rainfall

As stated in the weather report, Auring is currently not affecting any part of the country.

PAGASA has advised  the localities to take appropriate preparatory measures due to the increased likelihood of heavy rains and gusty conditions associated with the potential passage of a tropical cyclone during the weekend through Monday:

• Visayas
• Bicol Region
• MIMAROPA
• Caraga
• Northern Mindanao
• Davao Region
• Cotabato
• Lanao del Sur
• Areas identified in hazard maps to be highly or very highly susceptible to the said hazards.

Tail-End of a Frontal System

The Tail-End of a Frontal System will bring moderate to heavy rains  today over:

• Eastern Visayas
• Sorsogon
• Masbate
• Albay
• Catanduanes

While light to moderate with at times heavy rains over:

• Central Visayas
• Dinagat Islands
• Surigao del Norte
• Rest of Bicol Region

Furthermore, isolated flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur due to heavy rainfall or prolonged periods of rainfall, especially in areas identified in hazard maps to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards according to PAGASA.

“Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels,” PAGASA added.

Strong Winds

PAGASA stated in the report that no locality is currently under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1.

“However, in anticipation of the arrival of strong breeze to near-gale conditions due to “AURING”, TCWS #1 may be raised over several provinces of Caraga and Davao Region as early as Friday, which may result in the disruption of maritime activities,” said PAGASA.

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

in the weather report, rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Northern Luzon in the next 24 hours and sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for mariners of small seacrafts.

Also, moderate to rough seas will be experienced over the eastern seaboards of:

• Central and Southern Luzon,
• Visayas
• Mindanao

PAGASA added that “mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.”

Forecast Position of Auring

• February 18, 2021 – Thursday (morning) :
  • 680 km East Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur (6.9°N, 132.3°E)
• February 19, 2021 – Friday (morning):
  • 515 km East Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur ( 7.3°N, 130.9°E)
• February 20, 2021 – Saturday (morning):
  • 290 km East Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur ( 7.7°N, 128.9°E)
• February 21, 2021 – Sunday (morning):
  • In the vicinity of Jabonga, Agusan del Norte ( 9.4°N, 125.5°E)
• February 22, 2021 – Monday  (morning):
  • In the vicinity of Maasin, Iloilo ( 10.9°N, 122.4°E)

Furthermore, the next weather advisory of PAGASA will be at 11:00 PM today.

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Source: PAGASA