TS “Crising” Maintains Strength, Moves North Northwest Toward Cagayan–Babuyan Islands

UPDATE May 13, 2026 11:19 AM:

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Tropical Storm Crising continues to move north northwest toward mainland Cagayan and the Babuyan Islands. Wind Signals No. 1 and 2 remain raised over much of Northern and Central Luzon, with heavy rains, gusty winds, and dangerous sea conditions expected.
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Tropical Storm Crising is maintaining its strength while tracking north northwest toward the Cagayan-Babuyan Islands area. As of 2:00 PM, July 18, 2025, the system poses threats of heavy rainfall, severe winds, possible storm surges, and hazardous seas over Northern Luzon. Residents are urged to remain alert and monitor official advisories.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Location of Eye/Center (as of 2:00 PM, July 18, 2025):
  135 km East Northeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.9 °N, 123.0 °E)
• Movement: North northwestward at 25 km/h
• Strength:
  • Maximum sustained winds: 75 km/h near the center
  • Gustiness: up to 90 km/h

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Forecast Positions

• July 18, 11:00 PM: Over the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan
• July 19, 11:00 AM: 230 km West Northwest of Calayan, Cagayan
• July 19, 11:00 PM: 430 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 20, 11:00 AM: 670 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 20, 11:00 PM: 900 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 21, 11:00 AM: 1,090 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon or in Guangdong Province, China (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 22, 11:00 AM: 1,325 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)

Outlook:
Crising is forecast to make landfall over mainland Cagayan or the Babuyan Islands this afternoon or evening, then traverse Extreme Northern Luzon before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow afternoon. It may reach Severe Tropical Storm category by tomorrow.

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Hazards Affecting Land Areas

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 12 (issued 11:00 AM) for rainfall details due to Crising and the Southwest Monsoon.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals

TCWS No. 2 (Minor to Moderate Impacts from Gale-Force Winds):

• Batanes
• Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands)
• Isabela
• Apayao
• Kalinga
• Northern and central portions of Abra (Manabo, Pidigan, San Juan, Tayum, Langiden, Boliney, Sallapadan, Bucloc, Lagangilang, Danglas, La Paz, Licuan-Baay, Tineg, Malibcong, Peñarrubia, San Isidro, Daguioman, San Quintin, Dolores, Lagayan, Bangued, Bucay, Lacub)
• Eastern portion of Mountain Province (Natonin, Paracelis)
• Eastern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Alfonso Lista)
• Ilocos Norte
• Northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Cabugao, Sinait, Magsingal, San Juan, San Ildefonso, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente, Santa Catalina, Caoayan, City of Vigan, Santa)

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TCWS No. 1 (Minimal to Minor Impacts from Strong Winds):

• Quirino
• Nueva Vizcaya
• Rest of Mountain Province
• Rest of Ifugao
• Rest of Abra
• Benguet
• Rest of Ilocos Sur
• La Union
• Northern portion of Pangasinan (San Nicolas, Natividad, San Quintin, San Manuel, Tayug, Sison, San Fabian, Pozorrubio, Laoac, Binalonan, San Jacinto, Manaoag, Mangaldan, Dagupan City, Binmaley, Lingayen, Labrador, Sual, City of Alaminos, Bolinao, Anda, Bani, Agno, Burgos, Mabini, Dasol, Calasiao, Santa Barbara, Mapandan, Bugallon)
• Northern portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora)
• Northeastern portion of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Pantabangan)

Southwest Monsoon Gusts:

• Today: Zambales, Bataan, Batangas, Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental, Sarangani
• Tomorrow: Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental
• Sunday (July 20): Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Northern Samar

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

Gale Warning

A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon. See Gale Warning No. 2A (11:00 AM) for details.

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24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Very Rough Seas:

• Up to 6.0 m: Seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands
• Up to 4.5 m: Northern Ilocos Norte, remaining seaboards of Cagayan, seaboard of Isabela

Sea travel is risky for all vessel types. Mariners must remain in port or seek shelter until conditions improve.

Rough Seas:

• Up to 3.5 m: Western Ilocos Norte, Palawan, Antique; southern Iloilo; western and southern Negros Occidental, Guimaras
• Up to 3.0 m: Western Occidental Mindoro (including Lubang Islands); southern Negros Oriental; northern Zamboanga Peninsula; eastern Davao Oriental; remaining Palawan

Mariners of small seacrafts and motorbancas are advised not to venture out under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or ill-equipped.

Moderate Seas:

• Up to 2.5 m: Northeastern Aurora, Northern Samar; eastern Catanduanes, Eastern Samar; Romblon, Siquijor, Camiguin; northern/western Masbate; southern Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Bohol, Southern Leyte; northern Misamis Oriental, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte
• Up to 2.0 m: Western Bataan, Batangas; remaining Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Northern Samar; northern Camarines Norte; southern Marinduque; Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Dinagat Islands

Residents in affected areas are strongly advised to take necessary precautions against heavy rain, strong winds, storm surges, and hazardous seas. Stay updated through PAGASA and local authorities for the latest bulletins. The next official advisory will be released at 5:00 PM today.

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For more information, see our complete guide on 10 Things You Can Do to Keep Your Cool This Summer.