Super Typhoon Egay Continues to Pose Threat to Northern Luzon with Maintained Strength

Typhoon Egay, also known as Doksuri, remains a super typhoon and continues to threaten Northern Luzon. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued advisories on the hazards affecting both land areas and coastal waters.

Location of Eye/Center: The center of the eye of Super Typhoon Egay was estimated based on all available data, including those from the Daet Doppler Weather Radar, at 270 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.8 °N, 124.3 °E).

Movement and Strength: As of the latest advisory, Typhoon Egay is moving northwestward at 15 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 230 km/h.

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Forecasters predict heavy rainfall in various regions over the next 24 to 48 hours. Today until tomorrow noon, above 200 mm of rainfall is expected in the northern portion of mainland Cagayan, including Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur. Additionally, the northern portion of La Union and the western portion of Kalinga may receive 100-200 mm of rainfall. Meanwhile, tomorrow noon until Thursday noon, above 200 mm of rainfall is forecasted for Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, and the northern portions of Abra and Ilocos Sur. Batanes, the northwestern portions of mainland Cagayan, the northern portion of Apayao, and the rest of Abra and Ilocos Sur can expect 100-200 mm of rainfall during the same period. Finally, Batanes may experience 50-100 mm of rainfall from Thursday noon to Thursday evening.

PAGASA reminds the public to take necessary precautions as flooding and rain-induced landslides are highly likely in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards, especially in elevated or mountainous regions and localities with significant rainfall over the past several days.

Enhanced Southwest Monsoon

Typhoon Egay is enhancing the Southwest Monsoon, bringing occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days. The public is urged to stay updated with Weather Advisory #6 for the Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 AM today, as well as the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 AM today.

Track and Intensity Outlook:

Typhoon Egay is projected to move northwestward in the next 12 hours before turning generally west northwestward and crossing the Luzon Strait. The current track forecast indicates that Egay may make landfall or pass very close to the Babuyan Islands-northeastern mainland Cagayan area between late evening today and tomorrow morning. However, slight northward or southward shifts in this segment of the track, within the forecast confidence cone, could result in a landfall or close approach over northern mainland Cagayan or Batanes.

After passing the Babuyan Islands, Egay is forecasted to turn northwestward or north northwestward and pass over the waters south of Taiwan. The storm is then expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Thursday morning. Beyond the PAR region, Egay will cross the Taiwan Strait and make landfall in the vicinity of Fujian, China on Friday morning.

Egay is nearing its peak intensity. In the near term, there is a short window of a highly favorable environment that may allow it to either maintain its intensity in the next 12 hours or slightly intensify further. However, a weakening trend is expected to begin afterward due to increasing interactions with the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon and Taiwan. Further weakening is anticipated outside the PAR region due to an increasingly unfavorable environment and the eventual landfall over the landmass of China.

Areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal

TCWS No. 4:

• The northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana)

TCWS No. 3:

• Babuyan Islands,
• the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan (Gonzaga, Peñablanca, Gattaran, Lal-Lo, Alcala, Santa Teresita, Buguey, Aparri, Camalaniugan, Ballesteros, Allacapan, Abulug, Claveria, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Santa Praxedes, Lasam, Baggao, Amulung, Iguig),
• the northeastern portion of Isabela (Divilacan, Maconacon, Palanan),
• and the northern portion of Apayao (Calanasan, Luna, Santa Marcela, Flora, Pudtol).

TCWS No. 2:

• Batanes,
• the rest of mainland Cagayan,
• the rest of Isabela,
• Quirino,
• the northern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Kasibu, Quezon, Diadi, Bagabag, Ambaguio, Villaverde, Solano, Bayombong),
• the rest of Apayao,
• Kalinga, Abra,
• Mountain Province,
• Ifugao,
• and the northern portion of Benguet (Bakun, Mankayan, Buguias, Kabayan, Kibungan),
• Ilocos Norte,
• Ilocos Sur, and the northern and central portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao).

TCWS No. 1: Areas covered by TCWS No. 1 include

• La Union,
• Pangasinan,
• the rest of Benguet,
• the rest of Nueva Vizcaya,
• the rest of Aurora,
• Zambales,
• Bataan,
• Nueva Ecija,
• Tarlac,
• Pampanga,
• Bulacan,
• Metro Manila,
• Rizal,
• Laguna,
• Cavite,
• Batangas,
• Quezon,
• Marinduque, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Burias Island, and Ticao Island.