Tropical Storm Tino Enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility

Tropical StormTino (international name Kalmaegi) has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility. It continues to move westward over the Philippine Sea and is expected to intensify further in the coming hours.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Location of Center (10:00 AM): 955 km East of Eastern Visayas (11.1°N, 134.5°E)
• Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 105 km/h, and central pressure of 994 hPa
• Present Movement: Westward at 30 km/h
• Extent of Winds: Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 240 km from the center

Areas Under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals

Signal No. 1 (Strong winds, minimal to minor impacts):
Visayas: Eastern Samar
Mindanao: Dinagat Islands, Siargao, and Bucas Grande Islands

Hazards Affecting Land Areas

• Heavy Rainfall Outlook: Refer to Weather Advisory No. 4 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Storm Tino.
• Severe Winds: Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within areas under Signal No. 1. The highest wind signal expected during its passage may reach Signal No. 4 as Tino strengthens.
• Gusty Conditions: The surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) combined with the circulation of Tino will bring strong to gale-force gusts over areas in Northern and Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and the Bicol Region in the coming days.
• Coastal Flooding: There is a potential risk of coastal flooding due to storm surge in low-lying coastal areas of Visayas, Southern Luzon, and parts of Mindanao. A Storm Surge Warning will be issued within the day.

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

• Gale Warning: May be raised over the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas and Caraga tonight or tomorrow morning due to very rough sea conditions.
• 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook:
  • Up to 4.0 m: Seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands; eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Isabela
  • Up to 3.5 m: Eastern seaboards of Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands
  • Up to 3.0 m: Seaboards of Ilocos Sur, Aurora, northern Quezon, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, and Northern Samar
  • Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to avoid sea travel as conditions are dangerous for small and ill-equipped vessels.

Track and Intensity Forecast

Tino is forecast to continue moving westward and make its first landfall over Eastern Samar or Dinagat Islands by late Monday (03 November) or early Tuesday (04 November). It will then cross the Visayas region and northern Palawan before emerging over the West Philippine Sea on Wednesday (05 November).

Tino is expected to intensify further and may reach typhoon category within 24 hours, with a possible peak intensity of around 150–155 km/h. Rapid intensification and a potential super typhoon scenario are not ruled out.

Advisory

Residents in Visayas, Southern Luzon, and northeastern Mindanao are advised to prepare for possible strong winds, heavy rains, and rough seas. Coastal communities should remain alert for storm surges.