STS Crising Now Outside PAR, Intensifying West of Batanes

Severe Tropical Storm Crising has exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility but continues to affect Northern Luzon with strong winds, heavy rainfall, and rough seas. Some areas remain under wind signals.

Severe Tropical Storm Crising has intensified and moved outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as of 10:00 AM today. While no longer inside PAR, the storm’s effects—strong winds, heavy rain, and hazardous seas—will still be felt in parts of Northern Luzon and nearby areas.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Location of Center (as of 11:00 AM):
  235 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (20.6°N, 119.6°E) (OUTSIDE PAR)
• Movement: Westward at 15 km/h
• Strength:
  • Maximum sustained winds: 100 km/h near the center
  • Gustiness: up to 125 km/h

Forecast Positions

• July 19, 8:00 PM: 410 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 20, 8:00 AM: 685 km West of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 20, 8:00 PM: 985 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 21, 8:00 AM: 1,180 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon or in Guangdong Province, China (OUTSIDE PAR)
• July 21, 8:00 PM: 1,345 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)

Outlook:
Crising is expected to intensify further and may reach typhoon category by tomorrow afternoon or evening as it heads toward southern China.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS) In Effect

TCWS No. 2 (Gale-force winds):

• Batanes
• Western portion of Babuyan Islands (Dalupiri Is., Calayan Is.)
• Ilocos Norte (Burgos, Pasuquin, Pagudpud, Dumalneg, Bangui)

TCWS No. 1 (Strong winds):

• Rest of Ilocos Norte
• Ilocos Sur
• Northern portion of La Union (Bangar, Sudipen, Luna, Balaoan, Santol, San Gabriel, Bacnotan, San Juan)
• Abra
• Apayao
• Kalinga
• Rest of Cagayan

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Widespread heavy rainfall is still possible over Northern Luzon and nearby areas due to the effects of Severe Tropical Storm Crising and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon. Flooding and landslides may occur, especially in mountainous and low-lying areas.

Severe Winds

• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds possible in areas under Signal No. 2
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds possible in areas under Signal No. 1
• Local winds may be stronger in coastal and upland/mountainous communities

Southwest Monsoon Gusts:

• Today: Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Isabela, the rest of La Union, the rest of Benguet, Abra, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands
• Tomorrow: Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Cordillera, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte
• Monday: Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Cordillera, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

Gale Warning

A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon. Sea travel remains risky for all types or tonnage of vessels.

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook

Very Rough Seas:

• Up to 4.5 m: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern Ilocos Norte
  Sea travel is risky for all vessels. Mariners must remain in port or seek shelter until conditions improve.

Rough Seas:

• Up to 4.0 m: Remaining seaboards of Cagayan; seaboard of Bataan, Occidental Mindoro (including Lubang Islands), Kalayaan Islands; western seaboards of Palawan (including Calamian Islands); western seaboard of Pangasinan
• Up to 3.5 m: Seaboard of Zambales; western seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Batangas, Antique; southern seaboard of Iloilo; western/southern Guimaras; remaining seaboard of Pangasinan
• Up to 3.0 m: Seaboard of Isabela; western seaboards of Negros Occidental; remaining seaboards of Palawan
  Small seacrafts and motorbancas advised not to venture out under these conditions.

Moderate Seas:

• Up to 2.5 m: Northeastern Aurora, Northern Samar; northern/eastern Catanduanes; eastern Eastern Samar; western/southern Negros Oriental; northern/western Masbate; southern Quezon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro; Romblon; eastern/southern Davao Oriental
• Up to 2.0 m: Remaining Aurora; northern/eastern Polillo Islands; northern Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Oriental, Agusan del Norte; eastern Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Dinagat Islands; southern Siquijor, Cebu, Southern Leyte, Davao Occidental, Sarangani; northern/western Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi; Misamis Occidental
  Motorbancas and similar vessels should take precautions and avoid navigation if possible.

Residents in affected areas are advised to remain vigilant for heavy rain, strong winds, and dangerous sea conditions even as Crising exits PAR.