Tropical Storm HAGUPIT Nears Mindanao, Possible PAR Entry This Weekend





Tropical Storm HAGUPIT maintained its strength while moving westward over the sea south of Guam on Thursday morning, May 7, 2026. PAGASA said the tropical cyclone may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between Saturday evening and Sunday morning, where it will be assigned the local name “Caloy.”

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) issued Tropical Cyclone Advisory No. 2 for Tropical Storm HAGUPIT at 11:00 AM on Thursday, May 7, 2026.

As of 10:00 AM, the center of the tropical storm was estimated at 1,895 kilometers east of Northeastern Mindanao, outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, at coordinates 7.5°N, 143.5°E.





HAGUPIT continues to move westward while maintaining maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kilometers per hour. The tropical storm has a central pressure of 1002 hPa and tropical cyclone winds extending up to 280 kilometers from the center.

Track and Intensity Outlook

According to PAGASA, HAGUPIT is forecast to move west northwestward throughout the forecast period.

The tropical cyclone may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility between Saturday evening, May 9, and Sunday morning, May 10. Once inside PAR, it will be assigned the local name “Caloy.”

Forecast positions released by PAGASA show HAGUPIT gradually approaching the eastern section of the country over the coming days:

  • Friday evening: approximately 1,320 km east of Northeastern Mindanao
  • Saturday evening: approximately 1,055 km east of Northeastern Mindanao
  • Sunday morning: approximately 860 km east of Eastern Visayas
  • Monday morning: approximately 555 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
  • Tuesday morning: approximately 500 km east of Juban, Sorsogon

PAGASA said HAGUPIT is expected to further intensify within the next 48 hours and may peak as a high-end tropical storm.

However, the weather bureau added that the system is forecast to weaken afterwards due to unfavorable environmental conditions. It may weaken into a tropical depression by Tuesday, May 12, while over the Philippine Sea.




Hazards Affecting Land Areas

At this time, PAGASA said HAGUPIT is less likely to directly affect weather conditions over the Philippines within the next three days.

No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals have been raised.

Despite this, residents and local disaster risk reduction and management offices are advised to continue monitoring updates, especially as the tropical cyclone is expected to enter PAR during the weekend.




Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

PAGASA has not yet reported significant direct impacts on coastal waters associated with HAGUPIT over the next three days.

Nevertheless, mariners and those planning sea travel are encouraged to remain updated on official advisories as the tropical cyclone continues to move closer to the Philippine Area of Responsibility.

Advisory

Unless an intermediate advisory is issued, the next Tropical Cyclone Advisory from PAGASA will be released at 11:00 PM today.

The public is advised to monitor updates from PAGASA and local disaster risk reduction offices for possible changes in the forecast track and intensity of Tropical Storm HAGUPIT.

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