Tropical Depression Crising Moves Closer to Luzon

Tropical Depression Crising continues to move west southwestward over the Philippine Sea, east of Catanduanes. As of this advisory, no wind signals are hoisted, but residents are urged to stay alert for possible heavy rains and strong winds as the system approaches.

Tropical Depression Crising, the latest weather disturbance to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility, is moving west southwestward over the sea east of Catanduanes. While no Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS) are in effect as of now, communities in Luzon and nearby regions are advised to monitor updates as the system could intensify and shift its track in the coming days. The public is encouraged to follow official advisories for the latest developments.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Location of Center (as of 4:00 PM, 16 July 2025):
  625 km east of Virac, Catanduanes (13.5°N, 130.0°E)
• Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 km/h near the center
• Gustiness: Up to 55 km/h
• Central Pressure: 1002 hPa
• Movement: West southwestward at 20 km/h
• Extent of Winds: Strong winds extend outwards up to 280 km from the center

Tropical Depression Crising is expected to continue its westward track. Forecast models suggest possible strengthening in the next 24 to 48 hours. The highest possible Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) that may be raised during Crising’s passage is Signal No. 3 or 4, depending on its development and movement.

Hazards Affecting Land Areas

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Based on Weather Advisory No. 5, moderate to heavy rains are expected over areas affected by Tropical Depression Crising and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon. Flooding and landslides are possible, especially in low-lying and mountainous areas.

Residents are advised to regularly check for rainfall advisories and take necessary precautions.

Severe Winds

No areas are currently under any Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal. However, the following are key points to monitor:

• Possible Wind Signal No. 1: May be raised over portions of Cagayan Valley tonight or early tomorrow, depending on the system’s movement and size.
• Catanduanes Alert: If Crising increases in size or maintains its movement, Signal No. 1 may also be hoisted over Catanduanes.
• Maximum Signal: Signal No. 3 or 4 may be raised if Crising intensifies.

Southwest Monsoon Gusts

Strong to gale-force gusts are likely in coastal and upland areas, especially during the following periods:

• Today: Palawan, Siquijor, Bohol, Camiguin, Southern Leyte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands
• Tomorrow (17 July): Batangas, Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental
• Friday (18 July): Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

Sea Condition Outlook (next 24 hours)

Rough Seas (up to 2.5 meters):

• Western seaboard of Palawan
• Northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes
• Northern and western seaboards of Zamboanga del Norte and Camiguin
• Southern seaboards of Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Bohol, and Southern Leyte
• Eastern seaboards of Davao Region
• Seaboards of Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands

Moderate Seas (up to 2.0 meters):

• Northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro
• Southwestern seaboards of Antique and Negros Occidental
• Eastern seaboards of Northern and Eastern Samar

Mariner Advisory:
Small vessels and motorbancas are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Navigation should be avoided in rough sea conditions.

The public is advised to remain vigilant and monitor the latest bulletins from PAGASA and local authorities. Stay tuned for updates, especially as Tropical Depression Crising approaches Luzon. The next official bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.