“Egay” maintains its strength while moving westward slowly

Tropical Storm EGAY (Doksuri) remains steady, slowly moving westward. While no wind signals are currently raised, the storm’s impact is expected in terms of rainfall and possible gusty conditions due to the enhanced Southwest Monsoon, according to PAGASA.

• Location: As of 10:00 PM, EGAY was located 665 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.5°N, 130.3°E).
• Intensity: It has maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center with gusts up to 90 km/h. The central pressure is 996 hPa.
• Movement: EGAY is progressing westward slowly.
• Extent of Winds: Strong winds stretch up to 460 km from the storm’s center.

Rainfall Predictions

Monday:

• 50-100 mm: Catanduanes, northeastern part of Camarines Sur, and Calaguas Islands.

Tuesday:

• 50-100 mm: Babuyan Islands and northern portion of mainland Cagayan.

Due to EGAY’s influence, the Southwest Monsoon might also cause occasional rains across different parts of the country over the next three days. This can result in flooding and landslides, especially in areas previously identified as vulnerable and those which recently experienced significant rainfall.

Wind signals might be raised in the next bulletins for Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas due to the anticipation of strong breeze to near-gale conditions. The highest possible wind signal to be hoisted might reach No. 3 or 4, especially for Extreme Northern Luzon. A southward track shift could result in even higher wind signals.

Gusty Conditions Predictions (due to enhanced Southwest Monsoon):

Today to Tomorrow:

MIMAROPA, majority of Visayas, and northern regions of Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga.
Monday:

CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, majority of Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, and northern portions of Northern Mindanao and Caraga.
Tuesday:

Majority of Luzon and Visayas, and northern parts of Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga.

Track and Intensity Outlook:

EGAY is projected to continue moving slowly, then gradually increase its speed, shifting west-northwestward or westward till early Monday morning. It will likely turn northwestward for the remaining forecast period. The storm’s projected path suggests it will mostly remain offshore, but a close approach near Extreme Northern Luzon remains possible.

The storm might upgrade to a typhoon within 24 hours and possibly reach super typhoon status by Tuesday, given the favorable conditions for rapid intensification in the next 72 hours.